NOW AVAILABLE: Market Year in Review & Outlook Report 2018

TREB is proud to announce the release of our third annual Market Year in Review & Outlook Report – viewable in a handy flip version or downloadable PDF. This year's report, subtitled Steering the Way to Housing & Transportation Diversity in the Greater Golden Horseshoe, explores some of the most important issues affecting our industry today. A must-read for Members looking to gain new insight on the GTA housing market, as well as the policies and economic issues that impact the wider GGH, this in-depth report is informed by hard-data and groundbreaking research from TREB and our partners, and will engage you from cover to cover. Some of the exciting content and topics you can read about in this year' s report include: Market Year in Review: The Market in 2017 A look at how the market unfolded in 2017, featuring a review of TREB MLS® System statistics and TREB-commissioned Ipsos surveys of homeowners Market Outlook: Looking Ahead to 2018 Features a forecast of the year to come, in terms of sales, listings and home prices. This outlook will also include results of a TREB-commissioned Ipsos survey of intending home buyers and sellers A look at the economic impact (spin-off spending, job creation, taxes paid) of resale and new home sales in the GTA Submissions from government policymakers on their approach to better transit and transportation policy, new research from the C.D. Howe Institute on addressing the issue of mobility and traffic congestion, and an exciting take from the Toronto Region Board of Trade on the smooth movement of people and goods Research from the Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis on the missing middle and creating diverse housing stock in the Greater Golden Horseshoe A glimpse at the New Home and Commercial market segments Click here to read the report. Click here for a mobile-friendly, single column version of the report.

Toronto MLS Average Resale Home Price December 2017

Toronto MLS Sales-To-New Listings Ratio December 2017

Toronto MLS New Listings - December 2017

Toronto MLS Sales - December 2017

GTA REALTORS® Release December 2017/Annual Stats

January 4, 2018 -- Toronto Real Estate Board President Tim Syrianos announced that Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 92,394 sales through TREB's MLS® System in 2017. This total was down 18.3 per cent compared to the record set in 2016. 

Record sales in Q1 were followed by a decline in Q2 and Q3 after the Ontario Fair Housing Plan (FHP) was announced. The pace of sales picked up in Q4, as the impact of the FHP started to wane, and some buyers arguably brought forward their home purchase in response to the new OSFI stress test guidelines effective January 1, 2018. 

"Much of the sales volatility in 2017 was brought about by government policy decisions. Research from TREB, the provincial government and Statistics Canada showed that foreign home buying was not a major driver of sales in the GTA. However, the Ontario Fair Housing Plan, which included a foreign buyer tax, had a marked psychological impact on the marketplace. Looking forward, government policy could continue to influence consumer behavior in 2018, as changes to federal mortgage lending guidelines come into effect," said Mr. Syrianos. 

The average selling price for 2017 as a whole was $822,681 – up 12.7 per cent compared to 2016. This annual growth was driven more so by extremely tight market conditions during the first four months of the year. In the latter two-thirds of 2017, fewer sales combined with increased listings resulted in slower price growth. In December, the MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) Composite Benchmark was up by 7.2 per cent year over year, and the overall average selling price was up by 0.7 per cent year over year. 

"It is interesting to note that home price growth in the second half of 2017 differed substantially depending on market segment. The detached market segment – the most expensive on average – experienced the slowest pace of growth as many buyers looked to less expensive options. Conversely, the condominium apartment segment experienced double-digit growth, as condos accounted for a growing share of transactions," said Jason Mercer, TREB's Director of Market Analysis. 

Toronto MLS Average Resale Home Price - November 2017

Toronto MLS Sales-To-New Listings Ratio - November 2017

Toronto MLS New Listings - November 2017

Toronto MLS Sales - November 2017

TREB RELEASES MONTHLY MARKET FIGURES REPORTED BY GTA REALTORS® November 2017

TORONTO, ONTARIO, December 5, 2017 – Toronto Real Estate Board President Tim Syrianos announced that Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 7,374 transactions through TREB’s MLS® System in November 2017. This result was up compared to October 2017, bucking the regular seasonal trend. 

On a year-over-year basis, sales were down by 13.3 per cent compared to November 2016. New listings entered into TREB’s MLS® System in November 2017 amounted to 14,349 – up by 37.2 per cent compared to November 2016, when the supply of listings was very low from a historic perspective. “We have seen an uptick in demand for ownership housing in the GTA this fall, over and above the regular seasonal trend. 

Similar to the Greater Vancouver experience, the impact of the Ontario Fair Housing Plan and particularly the foreign buyer tax may be starting to wane. On top of this, it is also possible that the upcoming changes to mortgage lending guidelines, which come into effect in January, have prompted some households to speed up their home buying decision,” said Mr. Syrianos. 

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) composite benchmark price was up by 8.4 per cent on a year over-year basis in November 2017. The average selling price for all home types combined was down by two per cent compared to November 2016, due in large part to a smaller share of detached home sales versus last year. On a year-to-date basis, the average selling price was up by 13.4 per cent compared to the same period last year. High density home types continued to lead the way in terms of price growth, with the average condominium apartment price up by double digits compared to November 2016. 

“Changes in market conditions have not been uniform across market segments. In line with insights from consumer polling undertaken by Ipsos in the spring, we are still seeing seller’s market conditions for townhouses and condominium apartments in many neighbourhoods versus more balanced market conditions for detached and semi-detached houses. We will have more insights to share about consumer intentions for 2018 at the end of January when TREB releases its third annual Market Year in Review and Outlook report,” said Jason Mercer, TREB’s Director of Market Analysis.